COVID cases continue to decline

By George Shaw

Summary

New cases declined in North Carolina for the ninth week in a row, a drop of 95% from the peak week in mid-January. Wake County’s new cases decreased for the third consecutive week and Zip Code 27587 (Wake Forest) were reduced for the eighth week. There was no change in the number of fatalities for all of Wake County. The rate of vaccinations increased slightly in Wake County last week.

Key COVID-19 Data

North Carolina’s ratings remain better than most states. They are unchanged from the prior week. The Tar Heel State remained the 14th lowest among the 50 states for the number of cases during the last week. It moved from the13 th lowest state in deaths per person to the 12th. It remained the 27th in terms of the most number of tests.

New tests in North Carolina declined 15% vs. a 15% increase the prior week. Last week’s increase primarily reflects delays in counting over the Memorial Day weekend which impacted the data from the prior week.

The number of new cases is down 27% compared to 4% during the prior seven-day period. This represents the ninth week in a row of declining cases. The percentage of positive tests decreased significantly from 2.5% to 2.1% in the last week. Hospitalizations declined from 616 a week before to around 500 today.

The number of new cases for the last seven days was down 95% since the peak week of January 14-20.  They are also level with the number of new cases thirteen months previously.

The number of deaths from COVID-19 in North Carolina decreased to 84, resuming its downward trend. The corresponding amount of deaths for the prior seven-day period were the lowest since mid-April 2020.

North Carolina’s County Alert System was last updated on June 10 measuring the two weeks up to June 5.  22 counties moved to a better position and 9 to a worse one during the prior 14 days.  No counties are currently rated red, 6 orange, 36 yellow and 49 counties are coded light yellow.  Although there were nine counties with the best (green) rating, they account for only 3% of the state’s population.

How is Wake County doing compared to the other 99 counties? Our county’s ranking has improved slightly during the past two weeks. It currently ranks 53th lowest in the number of new cases (vs. 67th in the prior period).

4.3 million Tar Heels have received their first dose while 4.0 million have their second shots as of June 15.  An additional 318 thousand had a vaccine requiring a single shot.  The number of new shots increased from 136,000 to 152,000 shots administered during the last full week (June 7).  57% of eligible residents of Wake County have received partial doses and 53% have completed their requirements.

14 Day Moving Averages Data
Criteria 26-May 2-Jun 9-Jun 16-Jun Trend
Testing 25930 21563 19890 18157 Down Significantly
New Cases 973 712 550 389 Down Significantly
%  Positive Cases 3.75% 3.30% 2.77% 2.14% Down Significantly
Hospitalizations 775 677 608 495 Down Significantly
Source: covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard
Notes:
o It usually takes 3-4 days for complete data to be reported.

 

 

 

 
   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New cases in Wake County declined 13% last week compared to a 52% decrease for the prior seven day period. This is a 97% decline from the peak week of January 7-13. There has been no increase in the number of deaths since June 3.

There were only 8 new cases in Zip Code 27587 compared to 24 the previous week, a 98% decline from January 7-13 which was the peak week.

New cases in Zip Code 27571 increased to 10, the highest level in five weeks. Nevertheless, this is an 84% reduction from the peak week of February 11-17. New cases in Zip Code 27596 (Youngsville) increased from 5 to 14. Only one new case was reported last week in Zip Code 27596.

 

 

Data for last seven days
North Carolina 19-May 26-May 2-Jun 16-Jun
New Cases 6020 3940 3765 2722
Positive Test Rate 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.2%
Deaths 93 78 120 84
Total Cases/100K 956 960 963 21226
Wake County
New Cases 610 379 181 158
Deaths 1 4 2 0
Total Cases/100K 799 804 809 816
Zip 27587
New Cases 48 30 24 10
Deaths 0 1 0 0
Total Cases/100K 904 908 911 912
Zip 27571
New Cases 9 4 2 10
Deaths 0 0 0 0
Total Cases/100K 1039 1045 1047 1061
Zip 27596
New Cases 13 5 14 1
Deaths 0 0 0 0
Total Cases/100K 965 968 975 976
Notes:
Total Cases/100K Cases from March 2020 per 100,000 population

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