Weekly update shows 70 new cases in 27587 ZIP

The State of North Carolina tracks four primary metrics to determine whether to relax guidelines on reopening the economy.  All of them are trending upwards – more tests, more cases, higher positive testing ratio as well as greater number of hospitalizations.  And Zip Code 27587 (Wake Forest) recorded 70 new cases, the largest amount for a week in at least a month.

This assessment will be adjusted slightly starting next week.  There is sufficient historical data on the second type of test (antigen) to calculate averages with this factor over the prior 30 days.

North Carolina’s metrics remain good compared to the majority of states.   However, it passed Maryland and California to rise to 27th among the 50 states for the number of cases.  It remained 32nd for deaths from the virus on a per capita basis.  It remained the 28th highest rate of tests.

The number of new cases increased from 11,240 last week to 12,172 this week.  The weekly growth was about 8%, down from 22% the prior week.  However, the number of deaths increased slightly from 161 last week to 163 for this seven-day period.

The 14-day moving average for all four metrics continues to increase.  This average for tests sets records every day since October 7.  Similarly, the percentage of positive cases have resumed growth, a level last seen on September 7.  The number of hospitalized cases rose to 1,152 on October 13, the highest level since August 3.

 

Change Change Data  
Criteria 23-Sep 30-Sep 7-Oct 14-Oct 10/7-10/14 9/23-10/14 Trend  
Testing 27084 26162 27668 30531 10.3% 12.7% Up  
New Cases 1245 1263 1460 1672 14.5% 34.3% Up Sharply  
%  Positive Cases 4.60% 4.83% 5.28% 5.48% 3.8% 19.1% Up Sharply  
Hospitalizations 891 908 944 1028 8.9% 15.4% Up Sharply  
Source: covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard
Notes:
o Data is a 14 day moving average
o Some of recent data  is estimated
o Data includes Molecular Positive Cases only

 

 

Key metrics improved in Wake County.  New cases declined from 823 last week to 755 this week and deaths decreased from 13 to only 4.

North Wake Zip Zip Zip
Data as of 10/14/2020 Carolina County 27587 27571 27596
Total Cases 229115 19334 1092 88 280
Total Deaths 3856 262 31 0 1
Percent Deaths 1.7% 1.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.4%
Cases (last 7 days) 12172 755 70 3 12
Deaths (last 7 days) 163 4 0 0 0
Cases/1000 Population 2.08 1.77 1.47 1.19 1.50

 

 

     

 

 

The number of cases in our Zip Code 27587 rose by 70 in the last week, the highest seven-day increase in at least a month. No new deaths have been reported since September 19.

Zip Code 27571 (Rolesville) reported 4 new cases this past week up from 3 cases the prior seven days.  Zip 27596 (Youngsville) rose by 12 cases, a dramatic decrease from the 31 cases reported for the previous week.  Zip 27571 has reported no deaths; Zip 27596 continues to report a single fatality.

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